FUNDAMENTAL SHARES FOR LONG TERM FROM CHIRAG CHAUDHARI
Thursday, 24 July 2014
Sunday, 11 March 2012
BAJAJ HINDUSTHAN LTD
Bajaj Hindustan ltd
As we know that
the sugar industry is going through a lot of pain,recently they have
participated in the upmove.Even if
many of them appreciated more than 30 % in an average from that level,there is
still chances in this sector for long term investors.Even now there is full of
skepticism about this sector and these skeptics are looking only to the
negative factors around and not considering the sharp correction in the prices
of stocks from sugar sector.Let us take Bajaj Hindusthan which is one of the largest sugar
producers in our country.Company having 14 sugar plants in India with a
crushing capacity of 136,000 TCD and has Industrial Alcohol/Ethanol producing capacity of 800
KL per day.It also having a co generation facility for producing 428 MW of power.Under three SPV’s ( Bajaj Energy Private Limited, Lalitpur Power Generation
Company Limited, Bajaj Power Generation Private Limited )company is in the
process of setting up thermal power capacity of 4410 MW in Uttar Pradesh.Its
another subsidiary Bajaj Eco-Tec Products Limited (BEPL) is Manufacturing Medium Density Fibre
(MDF) boards and Particle boards from sugarcane baggese. BEPL is expected to
break even in next few years. This integrated nature of the company is
reducing the risk of sugar price volatility to a certain extent. As all of you
are aware, sugar companies are currently going through a difficult situation
due to price erosion of sugar because of over supply situation.Now in whole
sale market ,sugar is traded even below its production cost.But this situation
is expected to change in coming years due to crop loss in major producing
countries on account of weather conditions,shift of farmers to other
crops..etc.In countries like Brazil more cane is expected to divert for ethanol
production due to rise in crude prices. All these factors are pointing to a
recovery in sugar prices in next few years.Being a company with huge capacity
,such a situation will immensely benefit Bajaj Hindusthan.In December quarter
company posted a loss of Rs.45 Cr .Last year company collected 1,479.75 crore
through a rights issue to part finance its various expansion programs and
retire a part of its debt. A lot of sugar
companies did extremely well during the 2003-2007 period when Mulayam Singh was
in power. He had inaugurated a lot of these companies plus the procurement
prices of sugar increased by 25% during his reign and currently in the Mayawati
government, procurement prices of sugarcane has increased by 100% or so. So a
lot of policies during that tenure were favoring them, there were a lot of
incentives for the sugar mills. But in the current era there are a lot of
incentives which were removed, so the market is expecting a favorable thing for
sugar industry after the results of the UP elections.It is an excellent bet for
long term investors..
CMP:-34.95
Target:-120 – 150 in
next few years to come.
TRADE WITH CARE AND AS PER
YOUR RISK APPETITE
- EVERY TRADE
BEARS RISKS AS WELL AS REWARDS;
- TRADE AS PER
YOUR COMFORT LEVELS
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